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Abrajano & Hajnal’s White Backlash:
Immigration, Race, and American Politics

2,222 words

Marisa Abrajano and Zoltan Hajnal
White Backlash: Immigration, Race, and American Politics
Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2015

In the act of reading race-related studies by Leftist social scientists, it can be hard to stomach their dégagé anti-whiteness. Jared Taylor, for example, in his review of a 2015 book, White Backlash, by Marisa Abrajano and Zoltan Hajnal, makes no attempt to disguise his contempt for the authors. While I certainly sympathize with Mr. Taylor, one must not let the authors’ obnoxious anti-white bias distract him from the utterly good news reported in this book. Political scientists often marvel at the strength of party affiliation (so strong is the typical citizen’s party affiliation, it is considered in the discipline of political science to be a fundamental part of the citizen’s personal identity). And so it is indeed remarkable that Abrajano and Hajnal find that Latino immigration (not just immigration — Latino immigration!) has caused whites to be more conservative ideologically and to be more prone to identify as Republicans. As part of their theory, they explicitly acknowledge that American demographics are changing, and that whites notice this change. They argue — perhaps naively, perhaps insidiously – that whites’ opposition to immigration is “surprising”:

The anxiety surrounding immigration is surprising given that most empirical studies indicate that native-born Americans should not feel any great sense of threat. The best social science data suggest that the net impact of immigration is generally a positive one for most Americans. With few exceptions, the documented costs of immigration are relatively small. Given the overall empirical reality of immigration, few Americans should feel threatened. (p. 49-50)

From a Dissident perspective, this is interesting. Let us say that “the best social science data” are right to “suggest that the net impact of immigration is generally a positive one for most Americans.” As can be inferred from the cited passage, Abrajano and Hajnal are referring to certain economic costs and benefits: The “overall empirical reality” they are talking about has to do with the alleged material benefits that Latino immigrants provide to white Americans. If it is true that the average white American materially benefits from Latino immigration, yet still opposes it, this is cause for Dissidents to feel euphoric.

One interesting contribution that Abrajano and Hajnal make is the provision of a theory that connects whites’ views on immigration and their views on other seemingly unrelated issues. The logic is that whites view Latinos as competitors for resources, and so their views on immigration will be related to their opinions about such things as how generous the government should be in the provision of welfare. Even though Dissidents rightly complain that the Republicans are frauds on immigration, in 2016, Donald Trump nevertheless proved that Abrajano and Hajnal were correct to label the Republican Party the party of opposition to immigration; they argue as part of their theory that the difference between the two parties on immigration has become “increasingly clear” to voters. Moreover, given the “growing Latino support of the Democratic Party, there is little doubt that party images have changed in recent decades” (p. 44). It may be easy for Dissidents to overlook the political and social significance of this argument, in part because it is so obvious. But what they are theorizing is that the “image” of the Republican Party is that it is the white party, while that of the Democratic Party is that it is the nonwhite party — and whites are responding to this change in image by becoming Republicans, in spite of the fact that changing one’s party identification at times seems as dramatic as going through a sex change.

Abrajano and Hajnal’s argument, therefore, is that whites are racist: They are racist because immigration is materially/economically good for whites, but their stereotyping of Latinos blinds them to the ways in which Latinos make life materially/economically better for them. This is an obnoxious argument (and, as I will argue later, the authors fail to demonstrate that immigration is actually materially/economically good for whites). But imagine if this were true — imagine if it were true that whites’ ethnocentrism actually did cause them to be blind to the material/economic benefits of living in a multiracial society. Is that not music to the ears of a Dissident?

But I should not oversimplify Abrajano and Hajnal’s argument. They believe that whites are racist, but they blame two things for whites’ racism that make ordinary white people less personally responsible: The “immigrant context” (e.g., “size of the out-group or rate at which the out-group is growing” [p. 48]) and the media. A run-of-the-mill paleoconservative would argue that fast-changing demographics can stoke an anti-out-group bias — Tucker Carlson has made this very argument on his show — so this, in itself, is not exactly an “anti-white” argument. It is easy to laugh at blaming the media as a cause of white racism, but I would argue that we should not be too quick to dismiss it. Like the blind squirrel or the broken clock, the media do get things right sometimes. A 2000 study by Franklin Gilliam and Shanto Iyengar found in an experiment that coverage of violent crime by local TV news can cause an increase in whites’ “symbolic racism.” [1] Some may immediately object that this is because blacks commit more violent crime — and I would agree with this objection. But consider this: Gilliam and Iyengar found that even TV news reports of violent white attackers caused white viewers in this experiment to exhibit an increase in measures of symbolic racism. In reporting these findings, I am not saying that whites are irrational; it makes sense that if violence is positively correlated with blackness relative to whiteness, people are “rational” (in the economic sense of the word) to think “black” when they hear “violence.” Insofar as the media report on relevant and real news, it is reasonable to think that whites will respond to this reporting in a way that the Left characterizes as “racist.” Abrajano, Hajnal, Gilliam, and Iyengar are the types of Leftists who believe, basically, that the media should not report truthfully on racial issues, lest whites react rationally.

In their fifth chapter, Abrajano and Hajnal operationalize media coverage of immigration using a New York Times index (which is a typical way of operationalizing media coverage in the American social sciences). Using data from 1980 to 2011, their media coverage variables are operationalized so as to account for immigration articles’ “tone,” what racial group is covered, and the articles’ “issue content” (e.g., immigration in the context of the economy). They also included statistical controls for other media or media-related variables, such as “volume of coverage.” First, they were able to statistically demonstrate the media’s ability to influence the populace (a fact which I always find interesting and important to emphasize). However, they show that the tone of immigration articles did not affect white macropartisanship. In other words, articles that “positively,” “negatively,” or “neutrally” covered immigration were all ineffectual in influencing white macropartisanship. The immigration articles’ “issue content” was also ineffectual in influencing white macropartisanship, indicating that, at least when it comes to the question of whether a white person identifies as a Democrat or a Republican, he does not distinguish between immigration’s relationship with one issue and its relationship with another issue. However, they found that articles about Latinos caused whites to identify as Republicans. In other words, when the media indicate that Latinos are the immigrants, white people respond by becoming more Republican. This is obviously the reason the media suppress information about race so often in articles when they have reason to believe that there will be a “white backlash” to such information. As per Abrajano and Hajnal, when the media do suppress racial information, it is likely that they are having real effects on public opinion/behavior. The good news, however, is that this chapter provides evidence of white ethnocentrism.

If Abrajano and Hajnal’s fourth chapter had been titled by a Dissident, it would be called Latinos Cause Whites to Be Based and Red-Pilled. If ever there was a group of whites who came to act increasingly “based and red-pilled” (broadly speaking), it would apparently be whites who live in states whose populations are heavily Hispanic. Although Mr. Carlson’s argument that demographic change can cause an anti-out-group reaction makes sense, Abrajano and Hajnal find that this is not true at the state level: “White Americans may be somewhat responsive to the growth of the immigrant population, yet they are clearly influenced by the overall size of the Latino population.” (p. 147)

According to Abrajano and Hajnal, how do whites defend their interests — i.e., in what policy-specific ways do whites living in relatively Latino states act “based and red-pilled”? This question is partially answered in their sixth chapter. This chapter also shows that there is real competition between whites and Latinos in terms of public policy outcomes. One of the policy issues that they look at is taxation. Sales taxes, of course, are known as regressive taxes because they apply to everyone equally regardless of his level of wealth. Property taxes, on the other hand, are progressive taxes, since those with more wealth have more property. Since whites are on average wealthier than Latinos, it makes sense that whites in states with more Latinos would prefer lower property taxes and higher sales taxes, and that whites in states with fewer Latinos would prefer relatively higher property taxes and relatively lower sales taxes. Abrajano and Hajnal confirm this hypothesis, finding that as a state’s percent-Hispanic increases, property taxes fall and sales taxes climb. Back in their fourth chapter, they stated:

White Americans tended to be more regressive when they live in states with large Latino populations whether the Latino population was largely poor or not. The overall picture at this point appears to be one of a less than discerning white public. As far as we can tell, white Americans tend to react negatively regardless of who comprises the Latino population. (p. 149)

Again, if this is true, it is good if one considers the fact that it can be interpreted as evidence of white ethnocentrism. However, as they show in their sixth chapter, after the average state’s population of Latinos became high enough relative to the white population, the state’s revenue-collection policies switched back from regressive to progressive. So it seems that whites and Latinos are indeed in competition with each other to control public policy. In fact, Abrajano and Hajnal actually admit that “Latinos. . . are able to shift policy in a pro-Latino direction if their numbers are large enough.” (p. 200) On the same page, they also admitted that “the decision to reduce education funding and increase corrections funding in states with a large Latino community may exacerbate the problem [of racial inequality] even further.” But wait — if whites are objectively better off with more Latinos and if their perception of a “Latino economic threat” is irrational, then how can there be “pro-Latino” policies? Would the policies not also be pro-white? If Latinos benefit more than whites do from high spending on education, does this not suggest that Latinos consume more public resources than whites do? Does it not suggest that Latinos may change the nature of a formerly white society — from a society where high spending on public education buys really good public schools, to a society where high spending on public education buys something less than really good public schools?

The really obnoxious thing about Abrajano and Hajnal’s argument is that they make the assumption that Latinos are economically good for whites, though they never properly acknowledge that they make this assumption. Rather, they state it as a fact. If it were not for the anti-white climate of academia, they would never have been able to publish this work without at least acknowledging that their assumption could be wrong. My personal opinion is that Latinos are economically beneficial to some whites, and economically detrimental to other whites. However, I also believe that Latinos, even when they are economically beneficial, often come with hidden costs (economic costs and other kinds of costs) that whites eventually discover. I would love to believe that whites are completely “irrational” in their distaste for Latinos — and maybe they really are to some degree — but I also think that Abrajano and Hajnal grossly exaggerate the extent to which Latinos are economically beneficial to whites.

White Backlash is generally encouraging. The future is clearly not unfolding as the Left wants it to. Not only is race becoming more of a central variable in the American social and political scene, but whites appear to be willing to act in their own interests, albeit covertly and indirectly for now. But at this rate, “Republican” will simply be another word for “white,” and “Democrat” will be another word for “nonwhite.”

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[1] Franklin D. Gilliam Jr. and Shanto Iyengar, “Prime Suspects: The Influence of Local Television News on the Viewing Public,” American Journal of Political Science, vol. 44, no. 3, (2000) pp. 560-573.



  1. Posted June 25, 2020 at 9:06 pm | Permalink

    It’s too bad, then, that Republicans tend to be all talk and no action. They’ll keep up that game until the public makes it clear that they’re out if they don’t fulfill their promises.

    • Mac
      Posted June 27, 2020 at 9:28 am | Permalink

      I’m wondering how much longer the GOP strategy of making false promises, not following through and then extorting voters under threat of democrats winning will remain effective. Trump is really pushing the limits of how far that can go, his reelection hinges on it now since he can’t run on his record of tweeting & letting black felons out of prison. I don’t know how much gas is left in that tank but this is likely the last time they can get away with it in a national election, if it’s not already empty.

  2. Lord Shang
    Posted June 26, 2020 at 2:01 am | Permalink

    I don’t wish to be a “sour grapes” man, but the notion that the GOP was becoming the Generic American (white) Party, and the Democrats becoming the Generic Nonwhite Party, is very old hat. People were discussing this already in the 80s. People like Peter Brimelow and Steve Sailer have been overtly discussing this thesis for at least two decades.

    Mass immigration is overwhelmingly economically negative for most whites (though massively beneficial for a minority of white businessmen, esp in construction, contracting, fast food, hospitality, and large scale farming). Flooding your country, a huge socialist welfare state, with masses of poor foreigners guarantees “a prioristically” that it will be bad economically for whites. Some whites must compete with the newcomers, which lowers their wage labor bargaining power. Others in higher skilled occupations must pay higher taxes to support the social services used by the newcomers.

    I always oppose nonwhite immigration in any quantity and of any type simply because I’m a racial separatist and nationalist. But from an economic perspective, immigration can only ever be good for the majority of the recipient nation if it is predominantly of a higher economic caliber than that of the modal citizen. Thus, if most of the immigrants are high IQ engineers, scientists, and other high skilled professionals, then it is possible that the value of their future economic activity will surpass that of the average (lower IQ, less skilled) native born, and thus that their presence will be a net economic benefit to the native born citizens. That’s not a reason in itself to admit the immigrant professionals, because economic outcomes are not the only or most important criterion by which to judge immigration. But post-1965 American Third World immigration has been mostly a low IQ and low skilled stream, and thus an utter disaster for most Americans, having changed our country beyond racial recognition – and having forced the American Majority to subsidize that transformation.

    • Posted June 26, 2020 at 12:23 pm | Permalink

      Lord Shang,

      Thanks for your comment and for reading the article. I agree with everything you said.

      I also agree that the “white Republican, nonwhite Democrat” argument is very old hat — I have been reading VDARE for years. However, people like Peter Brimelow and Steve Sailer are are not bona fide social scientists the way Abrajano and Hajnal are. This is not to say that Brimelow and Sailer are less insightful than Abrajano and Hajnal (of course), but it’s nice to be able to use literature published by Science Inc. to “red-pill normies.” Also, the statistical techniques used by Abrajano and Hajnal are not generally used by Dissidents, because Dissidents don’t have access to the types of institutions that Abrajano and Hajnal have access to. Clearly, we are right and they are wrong. But our arguments could be far stronger if we controlled the levers of power. In the meantime, it’s nice to have our opponents making our arguments for us.

      One other note — I don’t like to argue about economics. While I agree with everything you said with respect to economics, I generally find it rhetorically disadvantageous to “go into the weeds” and try to argue that economies are not strengthened by immigration. Economics, as a discipline, is all about assigning value and making decisions based on predetermined value assessments. We will never be able to agree with the Left on what is “valuable,” so it seems to me that arguing about economics with them is a waste of time. This is precisely why I don’t make economic arguments in this review.

      Thanks for your feedback!

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