A New Era of Republican Dominance

1,055 words

Donald Trump easily carried both the popular vote and the Electoral College in this last election. He was aided by three trends that the GOP should understand well if they wish to have what the Democrats had from 1932-1952, an era of total dominance in federal elections. Firstly, the neglect of the older generations in favor of the hyper-politicized white youth–a very risky strategy. Secondly, white asperationalism among white-adjacent minority groups, especially Hispanics. And finally, what few seem to be addressing, a consistent growth in popular support since 2012 for Republicans in the face of stagnant popular support amongst the Democrats (assuming we write off 2020 as a stolen election that has very little useful data). These trends can be long lasting if they are fostered and bode well for a Republican-dominant era.

Let us first look at voting by age in this election. While Trump did better with older voters than younger voters, he closed some of his gap among the young while Harris closed some of her gap among the old. This is a highly risky strategy, as the old have a higher voting turnout. But it is likely to bear long-term fruit, as the youth are the future. The Left understands this and plays the long game. In recent years the Left has not only relied on nonwhite immigrants but has created a whole new demographic of, pardon my French, unfuckable women who have bought into a sort of bioleninist, self-destructive ideology, essentially becoming nuns of the state, in a way reminiscent of one of the Democrats’ traditional client groups: black women. The reaction to this new demographic of Leftist basket case young women is the rise of what some have called the “zoomerwaffen,” rightwing Gen Zers who are antifeminist and often tribalist. These young men (and to a lesser extent women) are high propensity voters, despite being young because they are hyperpoliticized by the Internet. They are the right-wing answer to the left-wing college brat. Despite Gen Z still voting minority Republican, this generation is only going further to the Right, as is the trend with all generations.

Trump underperformed with the elderly, which reflects the Right’s new branding: “the kids are alt-right.” While no one wants to lose votes, it’s clear from Cthulhu “swimming to the left” for decades, perhaps centuries, that securing the young and idealistic over the old and static is the correct long-term strategy for any movement that wishes to actually exert its will on the world. What we are seeing is the embrace of a right-wing futurism being installed unwittingly by those too old to understand the cultural revolution that they will help usher in. I suspect that the silent generation neocon, the MAGA boomer, and Gen X Qtard will have little lasting impact on spirit of this age.

The second trend that carried Trump to victory was of course the Hispanic vote. In spite of the infamous Puerto Rico joke at Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally, Trump actually won the male population of this demographic and didn’t do horribly with the women either, certainly in comparison to black women who voted for Trump in the single digits. Commentators have explained this as working-class people voting on kitchen table issues, but a few have been brave enough to bring up the metapolitical elephant in the room which is white aspirationalism. The Hispanics who wish to assimilate into white society are turning to the Republicans as the white normative party (a fact that everyone but whites recognize) while those who associate with their home island, urban blob culture, or even black ghettoized culture, side with Democrats as the party of the “other.” They, like most minority groups in the US, are happy to sit at the kids’ table under the tutelage of elite East Coast urban whites and Jews.

Pundits who have no understanding of race have rung alarm bells for years about the danger of embracing white identity politics because of the increasing size and power of minority populations. It turns out this may not actually be true. In fact, I suspect that the GOP giving some time to explicit white interests would not only increase the white turnout but possibly also the turnout of white adjacent minority groups who actively wish to ally with the core American native population. It has been said that Hispanics often simply prefer the strong horse, and whites exerting themselves politically is certainly stronger than the status quo.

Luckily for Republicans, the two demographics that they have a potential advantage in, whites and Hispanics, also happen to be by far the largest demographics in the US. Through explicitly embracing white identity, the Republicans can have their cake and eat it too.

Finally, if we inspect the popular vote, the Democrat share has been relatively static since 2012 while the Republican share has been consistently increasing by millions every presidential election cycle. I am omitting the 2020 election from our dataset for obvious reasons. As white progressives have been weeding themselves out of the gene pool, Democrats have relied on replacing the native white population to memetically continue their social project. This has clearly had little effect on voter turnout as, again, their vote share is stagnant. Meanwhile Republicans have easily kept up, leading to Republicans winning the popular vote for the first time since the post 2003 surge of patriotism in the 2004 election. One wonders how heavily the political disparity in birthrates play in these numbers. At this rate, and factoring in the fact that Trump’s increasing popularity can be explained by his gradual rehabilitation in the normie public mind, could we expect continued popular vote blowouts until the Democrat Party is unviable and forced into a complete realignment?

These new trends, if capitalized on by the GOP, could spell the long-term defeat of the Democrats under a coalition which spans from centrists to white identitarians, led by a counter elite of New Right fellow travelers. It turns out that most sane people, or at least most sane white people, want pretty much the same thing. All roads lead to Rome, whether that be the preservation of culture, meritocracy, geopolitical stability, an efficient government, a lucrative economy, or a healthy environmental and agricultural system. Whether the GOP has the courage to take advantage of this potential is something that is yet to be seen.