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Print December 20, 2021 13 comments

The Social Roots of the Great Afghan Deceit

Petr Hampl

2,058 words

The four months that have passed since America’s debacle in Afghanistan have made it increasingly clear that this was a model that was successful from commanders and managers’ perspectives. It is therefore highly likely that it will be repeated on other battlefields.

It may sound absurd at first, but it needs to be looked at from the perspective of the individual actors.

American winners . . .

Military command. No one was forced to shoot himself after a shameful defeat, as was done in the old days. No one was shamefully demoted. There was no purge of the General Staff. There has been no radical reform of the armed forces’ leadership. There have not even been reports that anyone’s pay has been cut. The military continues to focus on “critical” issues like appointing transgender admirals and outing dangerous extremists: young white guys who actually do want to fight the enemy. To sum up, another successful event.

Politicians. President Biden was badly damaged by the Afghan debacle, but it’s questionable whether he can fully appreciate that in his mental state. Everyone else has profited from it, including those parts of the Democratic Party and the White House staff who are pushing Kamala Harris. No one has been fired and no one has been rushed to court, so for them it was a successful event, too.

Consultants and experts. It may have been the case that someone’s contract was not renewed, but there was no big blowout. The media simply offered the explanation that Biden didn’t listen to good advice. Now there will be new contracts signed for analysis and recommendations that will drag on for years with zero results. The more astute ones will recommend that the military instead focus on climate change and sexual minority issues — which it would anyway. Afghanistan was therefore a success for them as well.

Weapons manufacturers and military equipment suppliers. The taxpayers paid to arm the Taliban. No contract has been terminated and the military’s budget has not been cut. Let’s move on!

Bankers. The United States went into debt with the war, will be paying it off for decades, the banks will reap profits from it, and the bankers themselves are getting management bonuses. Isn’t that great?

The results of the Afghan colonial adventure are similarly positive for multicultural activists, who will work to integrate “refugees,” as well as for sponsors of the West’s Islamization and other groups.

People act on the feedback they receive, and in this case, the feedback is clearly saying, “Keep it up! Do this again and again.”

. . . and American losers

Suppose the Americans really wanted to change Afghanistan’s situation by moving it towards our idea of human rights. They would support a local Kemal Atatürk or Hafez el-Assad who would modernize the country. Such a leader would build a wall on the border with Pakistan, send girls to school, tolerate other religions, ban the worst parts of Islamic law, and introduce some very limited elements of democracy. The West would have to tolerate the fact that modernization would come with a level of brutality that is normal in those countries. Afghanistan would nevertheless become a better place to live and would stop generating terrorist groups. If the local liberal dictator were a real leader, however, he would probably unleash local nationalism, be unfriendly to multinational corporations, buy some weapons from China and Russia, and look skeptically at his American advisers. The West would have won, but each of the above groups would be worse off than they are today.

But let’s go back to what actually happened. Were there also losers in America and Western Europe? Of course! And there were many others:

  • soldiers dying needlessly in a distant land;
  • their families;
  • taxpayers; and
  • those who will be victims of Afghan criminality in the United States and Europe.

None of of these groups have enough political and financial power to do anything about it, however.

Welcome to the world of the CPP (Chief PowerPoint Officers)

You can buy Greg Johnson’s Here’s the Thing here.

We see the same trends in Europe. No act of violence by migrants has been followed by the resignation of a minister or a law enforcement chief, the sacking of those responsible for migration policy, or anything else. Not even the disgraceful case of the British government sending a boat to Libya and bringing the jihadist who massacred children in Manchester two years later has led to anyone being held to account. No inclusion activist is going to get in trouble when their inmate, after having been labelled a model, commits murder. No judge gets in trouble when he releases someone who then commits murder. Even the expert who recommended it doesn’t lose his job.

Those who criticize it, by contrast, get in trouble. It’s a perverse feedback system. The more damage you do, the better off you’ll be.

If we analyze this phenomenon, we immediately notice that its basis is lying. This is logical, since it has been going on in the Western world for decades. Social programs that worsen the poor’s situation are hailed as successful and their managers are rewarded. In Brno in the Czech Republic, a program that turned a few flourishing, quiet, safe streets into a ghetto received an international award. And these incidents are not exceptional.

Programs that are demonstrably devastating to the environment are being rewarded, and there are more and more of them. All it takes is for someone to say that it will bring some very vague and abstract benefit to the planet. In the name of protecting the Earth, millions of batteries full of heavy metals are produced, meadows and fields are being replaced by solar collectors, natural fertilizers are being replaced by chemical ones, the soil’s ability to hold water is being destroyed, and natural diversity is replaced by dull reforestation. These consequences can be read about in specialist journals.

Is anyone losing their jobs? Are ministers resigning because of this? Will this lead to other such actions being halted? Again, we see the same combination: lying and perverse feedback.

Let’s not forget that the same principle now applies in the corporate sector. No CEO is judged by whether he actually helps customers. It’s all about profit — although not always. It’s not unusual for a company to be in the red, everything is falling apart, and yet its managers spend years leading shareholders by the nose, telling them that it’s not their fault, that it’s somehow a success, or that they can collect stellar bonuses. They have been able to do this quite legitimately in recent years: production has stagnated, but diversity has increased and the corporate climate impact has allegedly decreased. Success! They get away with this because, among other things, investment fund managers are usually on the owners’ side, and they only want to present good news. The ability to make amazing PowerPoint presentations triumphs over actual achievements.

The roots of great deceit

Since at least 2014, top US policymakers were receiving distorted information about what is happening in Afghanistan. An analysis by the Center for Strategic Studies has pointed out that since that year, the distortions have been systematic: Their structure was adjusted so that they continued to capture direct combat engagements (in which the Americans or Afghan Army special forces won almost every time), but stopped short of addressing who actually controlled the territory in question. Other information also disappeared from the reports, completely obscuring the fact that an insurgency was underway and that the insurgents were clearly in the ascendancy. An image was created of a fairly stable country where, although there were occasional terrorist attacks, the situation was generally manageable.

This was far from the only falsification. In other projects, the construction of schools was reported, but the fact that Afghan families then refused to send their children to these schools was conveniently left out.

Indeed, the people who made these decisions at the highest level may have thought that they were dealing with a more or less modernized country with fairly free conditions that was simply dealing with peripheral problems. It was therefore logical that last summer, they thought they were dealing with a peaceful exit, not a retreat in panic. They perhaps believed that they were leaving equipment and other resources to the Afghan government; if they had not, they would have faced criticism for abandoning their ally.

But in fact something completely different was happening in Afghanistan.

Little scams and big conspiracies

Several readers have written to me that such forgery is not possible. There were tens of thousands of people who served in the occupation forces, and they rotated quite often. It is not possible that no one was there long enough to bring in enough information about how things were really going in Afghanistan.

This is a good opportunity to explain the difference between a fantasy-conspiracy theory and a description of human behavior using general rules.

A conspiracy can take place, for example, when a group of people invents a fictitious school in a remote town, producing fake photos of it on a computer, making up the names of its students, falsifying progress reports, and collecting money for it. This might be successful if only one school was fabricated and the group of conspirators was no more than ten people. My readers are right that in real life, it would be impossible to keep something like this a secret for a long time.

But then there’s the other option: the psychological, social, and economic laws that motivate people to lie. Take these examples:

  • A captain is rated by how satisfied the colonels are with him.
  • A colonel is rated by how satisfied the generals are with him.
  • Generals are rated by how well they please the press.
  • The press wants to hear that Muslim society is basically harmonious and that most of the ideals of Western policymakers are being fulfilled in Muslim societies. It is only Donald Trump’s voters who are threatening the world. We can criticize the Taliban and ISIS if we explain that they are the Muslim equivalent to Trump voters and euroskeptics.

Law of the crowd

The crowd is afraid of otherness. It is the case also for crowds of top-level managers and politicians. If there is someone with a clear view and the ability to tell the truth, he is quickly declared undesirable. The entire bureaucratic system will rise up against him: journalists, politicians, managers, and senior military officers. He has no choice but to resign.

The third law: A culture of counterfeiting exists across industries. Businesses falsify their financial statements (although they cannot do so indefinitely) and the prospect of new products. Governments falsify the results of their programs. Non-profits falsify reality to create the appearance that there is a scary problem, and receive grants to solve it. They all lie about migrant integration and crime. After all, even when selling products, marketing is playing an ever-greater role and technical features less and less of one. The impression created by a PowerPoint presentation or a media image is more important than reality.

Can we therefore expect fair and truthful reporting on a war in a small, remote country? This applies not just to Afghanistan, but to all other conflicts, and to major projects in general. When you read that your government has given money to a non-profit for a wonderful project somewhere in Africa, what do you really know about it?

No country for real men

My critical readers were right. Many people in the field must have known what the situation in Afghanistan really was. The people who were willing to talk honestly about it and who wanted to solve the problems never get into decision-making positions, however. Maybe somewhere there will be a military troublemaker, or a product manager troublemaker, or an editor troublemaker. With any luck, they can hide in their organizations and remain there for years — but they definitely won’t get promoted. The higher we go, the more carefully the world is cleansed of such people.

A similar principle applies to the same extent everywhere, across ages and cultures. But would you want to be in the shoes of a general or intelligence chief who is being decorated this year, knowing that one day he will have to explain to Vladimir Putin or the Chinese leadership why he has been issuing false reports for years?

*  *  *

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Tags

AfghanistancorporationslyingPetr HamplpoliticiansUS foreign policyUS militaryWar in Afghanistan

Next

» The Worst Week Yet:
December 12-18, 2021

13 comments

  1. Bigfoot says:
    December 20, 2021 at 7:46 am

    You are a true academic and an intellectual. Your articles are also eye opening. The FBI states that white supremecy is the biggest threat to the U.S., yet can’t offer any proof. And this happens while BLM and antifa burn American cities. People who commit fake hate crimes demand everyone believe it. Corporations give moeny to BLM after the same organization burns down there stores. It’s clown world.

     

  2. MastercraftMainframe says:
    December 20, 2021 at 10:58 am

    Well, Afghanistan may have been a success for the elites and the Industrial-Military Complex, but I consider it a telling revelation of our dear leader’s ineptitude and self-aggrandizement. I agree with your analysis in the sense that the power-structure remains unaffected and the only ones that suffer are those on the receiving end of Globohomo.

    Regardless of tactile gains and the fact that the Afghan Crisis is “passed”, it seems to me that our political power is steadily diminishing as a global country. Despite the elites goals, there are always other factors: resurgent Russia and patient China.

    World War III is just around the corner with various nations and states activating militaries and armies for war. Despite the Jewish Elites wishes, they are entering a world with more powerful enemies abroad and a gathering discontent among it’s subjects and slaves.

    Time is not on our side, but I would hesitate to say that it is on our enemies’ side as well. We must not conflate an Elite’s plans coming to fruition and the processes of the natural order. Conflict is inevitable . . . and soon.

  3. Stephen Paul Foster says:
    December 20, 2021 at 10:59 am

    A brilliant piece that captures the dishonesty and corruption of the ruling class.

     

    1. Lord Shang says:
      December 26, 2021 at 3:02 am

      But is it really brilliant? I like the author’s cynicism, though it borders on being a half-Burnham, half-Orwell blackpill. I have now read both of Dr. Hampl’s CC posts, as well as the interview with Ondrej Mann, yet I still feel that Hampl is mostly offering assertions (that I agree with, albeit anecdotally) and examples instead of analysis. I would be interested in reading a more theoretical and systematic sociological examination of the “structure” which Hampl alludes to, and claims compels these inimical outcomes (inimical to non-elites, but quite rewarding to the elites themselves).

      One point that can be asserted with confidence is that the problems associated with politico-military bureaucracies trying to fight wars were evident at least as far back as Vietnam. Basically, what Hampl is discussing is the well-known phenomenon of bureaucrats covering their assets at the expense of reporting unwelcome truths, as well as the careerism which causes public “servants” to place self-interest ahead of their actual jobs. This problem is evident in corporate bureaucracies, too. But the problem is not capitalism per se, but statism; specifically, the lack of accountability (whether to taxpayers of shareholders). Neither (modern) militaries nor corporations are places where individual commanders or executives are faced with the raw accountability of personal profit or loss, whether financial or, as in the old days for failed commanders, reputational or even anatomical.

      I’d like to see Hampl present a summary of his “redneck sociology” here at CC for general consideration and comment. I will say in advance that analyzing incentive structures is very important, but it won’t alone answer the large questions pertaining to the death of the West. That death is not only happening because of the “managerial revolution” and its corporatist incentives to build a “flat world” of undifferentiated consumers. It is also a function of too many of our people, undoubtedly including many of the high IQ managers themselves, actually believing diversitist moral propaganda. I have personally encountered this – high placed persons seemingly sincere in their racial idiocy.

       

       

       

       

      1. Lord Shang says:
        December 26, 2021 at 2:44 pm

        Alas, sometimes I’m too eager to post a completed comment, and forget to proofread (see correction in bold below).

        But the problem is not capitalism per se, but statism; specifically, the lack of accountability (whether to taxpayers OR shareholders). 

         

      2. Lord Shang says:
        December 26, 2021 at 2:45 pm

        Alas, sometimes I’m too eager to post a completed comment, and forget to proofread (see correction in bold below).

        But the problem is not capitalism per se, but statism; specifically, the lack of accountability (whether to taxpayers OR shareholders). 

         

         

  4. lostinthemountains says:
    December 20, 2021 at 12:02 pm

    This piece is spot on. I say that having been deployed in Afghanistan (US military) at remote locations many times during this long war. There were a few US military ‘trouble makers’ on the ground, but their efforts were obstructed by higher and, sadly, sometimes by peers. However, these ‘trouble makers’ often gave higher just the rope needed to hang them. Too many years tilting at windmills can do that to a tired man.

    Case in point, read: American Spartan by Ann Scott Tyson

     

  5. Captain John Charity Spring MA says:
    December 20, 2021 at 2:59 pm

    The Amero-Bactrian Empire 2001-2021. Guarding the organic opium farms until the synthetic supply was perfected.

     

    1. Muhammad Aryan says:
      December 20, 2021 at 11:47 pm

      @Captain John Charity Spring MA

      Well said!

       

  6. Muhammad Aryan says:
    December 20, 2021 at 11:40 pm

    Every bureaucratic elite be it American, British, French, German, Indian, Iranian, Pakistani, Korean, Chinese, Afghan (if there is any such thing) etc., keeps things hidden from its peoples. It releases or “leaks” whenever it finds it in its interest.

    The nastiness begins the moment this particular elite monopolises mass communications and becomes the final point of reference. The control is absolute if it is influencing intra-personal correspondence and relationships.

     

    1. lostinthemountains says:
      December 21, 2021 at 2:00 am

      You are missing the point. There was no grand conspiracy, opium or otherwise. As the article alluded to, it is simply the system, under whichever US gov regime, doing what it has done for so long that we’ve forgotten when we were last here at this scale…try Saigon, April 1975. It’s the self-licking ice cream cone redux. No VC, no PAVN this time, just the pious, bearded, Taliban…now begging for alms because it’s easier to fight than it is to rule. It wasn’t a policy of malice as much as it was one of deadly ignorance, denial and complacency. Regardless, they are sweeping up the droppings, as was discussed in the article, and getting us ready for the next bloody debacle.

       

      1. ingrainedQuark says:
        December 21, 2021 at 3:44 am

        What may result out of comfortable power superiority if not ignorance and complacency at the very top?

         

  7. Kök Böri says:
    December 21, 2021 at 2:30 am

    They would support a local Kemal Atatürk or Hafez el-Assad who would modernize the country.

     

    They have had such liberal and reformist dictator, much pro-Western, the  Shah of Iran. And the West, particularly America (Carter) betrayed him. For the illusion of “human rights”, they prevented the Shah from defending his power by violence, and instead got in Iran the regime of ayatollahs that crawled out of the seventh century.

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  • Materials for All Future Historians
  • Love Song of the Australopiths
  • White Identity Politics
  • Here’s the Thing
  • Trevor Lynch: Part Four of the Trilogy
  • Graduate School with Heidegger
  • It’s Okay to Be White
  • The World in Flames
  • The White Nationalist Manifesto
  • From Plato to Postmodernism
  • The Gizmo
  • Return of the Son of Trevor Lynch’s CENSORED Guide to the Movies
  • Toward a New Nationalism
  • The Smut Book
  • The Alternative Right
  • My Nationalist Pony
  • Dark Right: Batman Viewed From the Right
  • The Philatelist
  • Confessions of an Anti-Feminist
  • East and West
  • Though We Be Dead, Yet Our Day Will Come
  • White Like You
  • Numinous Machines
  • Venus and Her Thugs
  • Cynosura
  • North American New Right, vol. 2
  • You Asked For It
  • More Artists of the Right
  • Extremists: Studies in Metapolitics
  • The Homo & the Negro
  • Rising
  • The Importance of James Bond
  • In Defense of Prejudice
  • Confessions of a Reluctant Hater (2nd ed.)
  • The Hypocrisies of Heaven
  • Waking Up from the American Dream
  • Green Nazis in Space!
  • Truth, Justice, and a Nice White Country
  • Heidegger in Chicago
  • End of an Era: Mad Men & the Ordeal of Civility
  • Sexual Utopia in Power
  • What is a Rune? & Other Essays
  • Son of Trevor Lynch’s White Nationalist Guide to the Movies
  • The Lightning & the Sun
  • The Eldritch Evola
  • Western Civilization Bites Back
  • New Right vs. Old Right
  • Journey Late at Night: Poems and Translations
  • The Non-Hindu Indians & Indian Unity
  • I do not belong to the Baader-Meinhof Group
  • Pulp Fascism
  • The Lost Philosopher
  • Trevor Lynch’s A White Nationalist Guide to the Movies
  • And Time Rolls On
  • Artists of the Right: Resisting Decadence
  • North American New Right, Vol. 1
  • Some Thoughts on Hitler
  • Tikkun Olam and Other Poems
  • Summoning the Gods
  • Taking Our Own Side
  • Reuben
  • The Node
  • The New Austerities
  • Morning Crafts
  • The Passing of a Profit & Other Forgotten Stories
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