Ukraine & Epistemic Failure AnalysisNicholas R. Jeelvy
Well, friends, we dun goof’d. We predicted, as a movement, as thinkers, that Russia would not invade Ukraine. We are, of course, at the time of writing, into the third week of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, so it behooves us to look into what happened and where we went wrong so that our analytical apparatus can meet the next crisis better prepared.
For a slice of the wrong predictions in that long-forlorn time of February 2022, you’d do well to read John Morgan’s article about why Russia won’t invade Ukraine (but is still winning) right here on Counter-Currents. Before we proceed, let me first clarify that in no way, shape, or form am I singling Mr. Morgan out for criticism. We all screwed the pooch on this, as did I. When I went to bed on the eve of the invasion, I agreed with that article’s predictions about the future. My own reasoning was that Putin wouldn’t invade Ukraine because it would be irrational to steal what you can buy cheap, and he could have simply bought the notoriously corrupt Ukrainian government’s loyalty. I believed at the time that the Ukrainians were getting wise to NATO’s treachery and America’s fickle nature and would try to deescalate their ongoing conflict with Russia. I was wrong on that, too. Many people were wrong. John’s article is merely emblematic of those mistakes that we made in that period.
So, we dun goof’d. Why? Russia was massing troops on Ukraine’s borders. Why didn’t we see it coming? Many people explained their reasoning as such: The media in the West warned of an impending Russian invasion, therefore they believed the opposite. Russian troops were merely on a military exercise. The Russian media claimed Russia didn’t intend to invade Ukraine. Ostensibly independent analysts claimed that the Western media were just stoking fears and that Russia wouldn’t invade. Nobody believed Russia would invade. I myself conveniently forgot all I had learned about geopolitics in the European plain and predicted no invasion and no war. One of my friends, the genuine Russia insider who runs the Edward Slavsquat blog, called it “complete epistemic failure” on the part of dissident media to predict this war. But before we get into why, let’s take a detour into the exciting world of modern Korean cinema.
A Taxi Driver is a 2017 Korean film about the 1980 uprising in the city of Gwanju. A West German reporter retains the services of a Seoul taxi driver to drive him to Gwanju so that he can investigate the rumors of an uprising. The taxi driver, himself ignorant of what is happening, drives the reporter there. What they find is a full-scale uprising by student radicals and a city under siege by the Korean military, with all communications cut. Nobody can get in or out of Gwanju, and no word can come in or out of it, either. For all intents and purposes, nothing is going on in Gwanju.
The film is entertaining and presents a slice of Korean history not often discussed in the West. It is also built using the tropes and canards of the Nuremberg moral paradigm, and as such deserves a savage and merciless deconstruction. But that is a story for another day. For now, I’d like to direct your attention to a very important fact in the film. The Korean military completely locks Gwanju down with the cooperation of the communications services (the post office, telecommunications, etc.). No information can come from Gwanju except what the military and the communications monopolies deem acceptable to make public. So, how does one learn what’s going on in Gwanju? You’d have to be a Western reporter confident of his relative immunity and a taxi driver desperate for money to even try to get into the city, and that means trying to go around or breaking through the military blockade. In other words, there is no legal way to do it; you’d have to break the law and expose yourself to imprisonment and death.
But that’s now impossible in this day and age. The Internet has unleashed the citizen-journalist, and governments can no longer lock down cities in such a way. How is censorship possible when everyone has a camera and a microphone in his pocket?
I hate to break it to you, folks, but the Internet is more centralized than we’d like to think. Governments can always cut it off at the ISP level, but beyond that, most of what we consider “the Internet” these days consists of centralized platforms. This is probably inevitable, The fact is that most people aren’t technically savvy enough to run their own sites, or even to take part in forums, as was the case in the 1990s and 2000s. The many little forum fiefdoms of that period have been replaced by the hegemonic Big Tech entities of today. Predictably, we are seeing all sorts of censorship from them. Therefore, if a sufficiently powerful entity decides to cut a region off from the rest of the planet, it is going to happen. But our epistemic failure on this latest Russo-Ukrainian conflict wasn’t merely due to lack of information.
The Kremlin regime does not have much power over Western Big Tech. While they can crack down on VKontakte and Yandex, strong-arming Google, Facebook, and Twitter is a taller order. There’s a subtler way to practice the art of deception than outright censorship, however, and that’s the cultivation of various forms of narratives which not only deceive, but also sometimes cultivate an environment of epistemic nihilism through their blatant falsity. While the Kremlin is masterful at this, the West is no slouch in this department, either. Anger totems such as Alex Jones and irony bros like Nick Fuentes have created an environment where nothing said need have truth content; it only has to “feel right” according to the prevailing mood of the moment.
Such screamers and snarkers exist on the Left as well, as in the center. What they utter are worse than lies, they’re anti-truths: lies formulated so as to break the framework which would allow for any notion of truthfulness in expression. The Kremlin has its own coterie of such anti-truth peddlers speaking in the dissident thought space, of course, exploiting the epistemic nihilism created by Western governments for their own ends. We know them as “the Russophile media,” and they were adamant that there’d be no invasion of Ukraine. In fact, they considered anyone who said there would be an invasion of the Ukraine a neoliberal shill. Thus, they managed to hijack dissident discourse on this issue. Believing that Russia is intending to invade Ukraine became “cringe,” as the kids like to say.
All of this could have been dispelled by facts. But facts were drowned out in a sea of hot takes, and very difficult to come by. I have contacts on the ground in Moscow and St. Petersburg. Counter-Currents and allied organizations have many friends in Kiev and Kharkov. But we didn’t have men on the ground in Belgorod, Kursk, and Rostov-on-Don, where the invasion was being staged. The Russian government managed to limit the information coming out about its genuine intentions and movements while saturating the Internet and media spaces with disinformation, misinformation, and anti-truths, managing to polarize the West, including its dissident space, by making positions in the conflict a loyalty test. Conservative-minded people in particular are vulnerable to such loyalty tests because they have the brains of soldiers: Loyalty is the highest virtue for them, and they’re always checking the loyalty of their compatriots while signaling their own. Even dissidents fall prey to this instinct.
I want to reiterate that all the Kremlin does is exploit vulnerabilities already created by the governments and other powers in the West. The state of epistemic nihilism is already here, fomented in order to make impossible the mounting of effective resistance against the West’s ruling regime. Nihilism breeds defeatism, and defeatists accept the default ruler, following only the basest animal instinct to seek reward and avoid punishment. By injecting a dose of weighted misinformation, foreign regimes such as the Kremlin’s can cause further confusion in already confused spaces.
There is a silver lining to this, of course. I’ve already pointed out that Western intelligence services are concerned with monitoring and controlling — and if that’s not possible, disrupting — the Dissident Right thought space, as well as any political organizations which arise out of it. The hijacking of dissident thought on the question of the Russo-Ukrainian War shows us that not only the Western ZOGs, but also the Russian ZOG in the Kremlin is interested in controlling and directing this thought space. That’s two out of three globalist empires desperately trying to disrupt this tiny, niche ecosystem of thinkers, bloggers, podcasters, publishers, and researchers. Sometimes they succeed, but we can always retrench, regroup, and learn from our epistemic failures to become better thinkers.
The last concern is the problem of not having eyes and ears on the ground. We did not have the relevant data because we didn’t have the eyes to see and ears to hear, but these are problems we have no power over. I will leave you with the story of Nasreddin Hodja and the Center of the World.
It is said that one day Nasreddin Hodja went to the teahouse, and someone asked him where the center of the world is. The wise Sufi answered, “The center of the world is in front of this teahouse, where I just now hammered the nail to my donkey’s bridle.” When the questioner said he did not believe this, the mullah sat back, took a sip of his tea, and answered, “If you don’t believe me, go measure it yourself.”
You can, of course, read my own treatise on dissent and the dervish (linked above), but briefly, the moral of the story is that some things are unknowable from a position of powerlessness. The center of the world is one of them. Positions of Russian troops on the eve of an invasion of Ukraine is another. The answer could be to believe the mullah, but another way might be to attain the mullah’s wisdom ourselves — and part of wisdom is recognizing that we have no eyes and ears where the bulk of the action is. We are looking at the world through flashing rectangles and confuse them with the world, but they’re not the world. They’re things through which men tell us things, and men lie: out of malice, out of ignorance, as part of a stratagem, for sport, or because they’ve stopped believing in truth. But they lie nevertheless.
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To be fair to myself, I want to point out while I, like many others, did not believe that Putin would launch a full-on invasion of Ukraine, I still stand by several other points I made in the article, in particular this paragraph: “If there is a war, it will come as a result of American aggression, not Russian. Washington of course would love to see Russia embark on a reckless adventure in Ukraine, because this might again drive Europe back into their camp, enable new sanctions against Moscow, and possibly lead to the end of Nord Stream 2. It may be that the US is in fact trying to provoke Russian intervention in the breakaway republics, and perhaps even Crimea, using Ukrainian forces as a proxy with the intention of presenting a Russian military response as “Russian aggression” and using it as a pretext to attain these goals. Only time will tell. Putin is shrewd, but it is still possible for Washington to force his hand, since it is unlikely he could afford to do nothing if NATO tries to reverse his gains in eastern Ukraine and Crimea. The breakaway republics offer a guarantee that Ukraine will not be admitted to NATO, since NATO would never accept Kiev’s membership for as long as there is an ongoing conflict there, and Crimea is of vital strategic importance to Moscow. Thus, while the game is so far playing out in Putin’s favor, it’s still possible for Washington to turn the tide.”
At the time I wrote that article, I believed the Russian plan was to increase their influence in Europe, but now it seems their strategy was very different from what I imagined and that they are in fact attempting an eastward turn. But in the end it is indeed the US that brought about this war.
It’s always nice to see this thing growing large enough that some writers aren’t aware of what others are saying. Anatoly Karlin was spot on in his prediction, and I’m sure there are quite a few others. https://akarlin.substack.com/p/regathering-of-the-russian-lands?s=r
The only thing Karlin got wrong was Russia’s subsequent military performance. (And, yes to toot my own horn, I found his casualty projections way to optimistic at the time, on account of a lifelong personal interest in military matters).
Jeelvy is utterly unconvincing in placing so much responsibility on outside factors, like Russian/MSM disinformation. No “man on the ground” was needed, and all the relevant data was widely available to anyone willing to put in some journalistic effort. We knew Russian crews joined their vehicles as it happened, and we knew field hospitals were set up as it happened.
Most likely, most of us got convinced no invasion will take place early on and just stopped paying attention. All the while, reality was showing our assumptions to be less and less correct.
I’m not going to apologize for not betting that the CIA would actually be right about something for the first time in about 60 years.
When you equivocate as much as (((Karlin))), you can always claim to be right after the fact.
Well, no one equivocates like (((them))). Not even close!
I had expected a punitive naval bombardment of Crimea by the might of the United States Navy along with the Royal Navy in 2001. I also thought that Biden’s election signalled all out war in Ukraine. The only surprise was that Putin struck as hard as he did with 150,000 men. I’d have wanted 400,000 to demolish Ukraine so I didn’t expect the invasion before build up of troops reached 300,000…
I fully expected a fight in Crimea proactively started with Anglo-American naval forces.
I meant 2021.
now as crazy as this might have sounded in 2021 this might have been enough to deter both parties Zelenskyy and Putin from their mutual hostility.
a naval action can be considered a cause for war but such incidences are buried or memory holed quite rapidly in many historical instances.
what we have now is a world changing event rather than some high risk swashbuckling.
However valid the above points are in general, no one need beat themselves up predicting “no invasion.”
First, it’s not an invasion. As The Saker observes:
“Andrei Martyanov coined a very apt expression: “combined arms police operation“.
Combined arms means basically formation-level warfare.
Police operation means just that, the arrest/destruction of criminals.”
By “criminals” one means “neo-nazi” street gangs, human trafficking gangs, biolab personnel, politicians in the pay of Jews. In American terms, arresting antifa, Hillary, and Hunter Biden.
As Greg Johnson pointed out on last week’s podcast, war and policing are totally different concepts (hence the stupidity of the idea of ‘let’s make war illegal!”). The Saker agrees, sort of: “So a “combined arms police operation” is strictly speaking nonsensical, and that is why Russian military specialists don’t use it. But it is still one I like, because it reveals both the full scope and full dilemma of Russian strategists.”
The rest here: https://thesaker.is/the-russian-military-intervention-in-the-ukraine-a-macro-view/
Second, about those biolabs. This is a game changer (though the MSM refuses to admit it). Clearly the Russians found evidence of such labs, and of plans to release more Covid style pathogens eastward. If it had any meaning, Putin would get the Nobel Prize for saving millions of lives, and exposing the Satanic nature of the US govt.
So, all these predictions were fine enough, but made without having access to the full picture — which no one (except Putin at the last minute) did. As Aristotle said, it is a mark of the wise man to expect as much certainty from a field as its nature allows: history isn’t mathematics.
I was also totally wrong on my predictions, but my mistake was largely driven by miscalculating power dynamics. Perhaps Putin thought that if war was inevitable he ought to do it now, and preferably before the US midterms? Maybe he misjudged NATOs willingness to impose sanctions, or understood that if sanctions were inevitable that he might as well endure them now and start moving towards autarky. There’s a possibility that the globohomo countries are willing to enact sanctions even if they hurt themselves more than Russia because its a lemonade out of lemons situation that allows them to further the great reset agenda of squeezing the white middle class out of existence, and Putin didn’t think they would risk a move like that which comes with more internal instability.
An intriguing question is did something external to Putin’s plans cause Russia to hurry their invasion, or enlarge it beyond seizing Luhansk and Donetsk? Did they want to capitalize on the trucker convoys, which have since fizzled? Did they learn something about the shady bio labs that have recently been admitted to?
Despite Ukraine being a flat country and Russia having more tanks and artillery their invasion seems to have stalled. Maybe he bit off more than he could chew by trying to encircle Kiev instead of just focusing on encircling the eastern regions? I originally thought that the initial invasion was recon in force, and like the Romans they were intentionally not sending their best at first, but there has been no follow up by better troops or equipment yet. Things are not going to schedule, regardless of what the Kremlin claims.
It’s not a flat country. Around the Melitopol area it is flat. There’s gully and hollows and ravines all over the eastern area. It’s also crossed by multiple rivers. There is a ridge line that goes from Crimea to Kursk though. A sort of north south trail along ridges.
It may also be appropriate to look at who on our side got it right and why. Say what you will about Curt Doolittle’s analytical methodology for solving natural law (or whatever), his geopolitical analysis on the Ukraine crisis has been spot on.
From November of last year he says “there is every strategic reason for Russia to at least capture the Don basin, and possibly everything east of the Dnieper.”
He had the advantage of having lived in Ukraine throughout the Maidan and experience with real war games. More qualified than the average armchair geopolitical analyst but also just looking at the incentives.
If you have to rely on the turbulent media cycle that occurs before a crisis to inform you what will happen, then maybe the game is already lost.
My own long term prediction was that war (or conflict of other type) was inevitable, but not imminent. I was blindsided by the schedule. But there’ll always be tugs of geopolitical war in the Ukraine. It is the gateway between Europe and the steppes, after all.
I thought Putin will not invade because it would be too idiotic to do that.
I said he already lost thinking he would turn around and simply look bad, but in one piece. But he did the inimaginable. He invaded.
He lost hard when the first Russian soldier put his stinking boot on Ukrainian soil.
Suddenly all the memories from the past Russian invasions, and genocides resurfaced. It simply brought on the streets many millions of Europeans protesting against Putin.
Even the well greased German politicians had to let Putin down. One million marching on Unter den Linden is something to think about.
In less than a week all Russian sponsored political parties were hit really hard. At this moment Salvini, Le Pen, Zemmour, and many other are simply finished.
They will be forever associated with crying mothers and kids. And let me tell you, those kids have the most beautifull blue eyes. I don’t know a mother not hating Putin for those tears.
I might be wrong, but I don’t think Viktor Orban will ever win another ellection, no matter what the last polls say. I bet that many former supporters will vote against him, due to the scent of a Russian. Mark this date April 3.
Trump has squandered the last chance to run. His “genius Putin” remark was devastating for himself and probably for Republicans.
Otherwise very peaceful people, with no interest in politics have become aware of Putin imperialism and dirty lies. Many of them repeated even here on CC sadly.
I don’t understand this article other than a contrarian stance from a talented (in fact very) but not so wise writer. Sorry.
Putin is finished. Sticking with him and this accursed invasion is political suicide. Putin wants his soviet empire back while everybody in his right mind remembers what the Russians did their entire history.
This Russian invasion is such a colossal blunder that it changed the world for the next decades. Unfortunately many seem stuck on defending the indefensible instead thinking about what will come next. Talk about wisdom.
Meantime in Ukraine, the third Russian general major lost his life. The Russians kidnapped a small town mayor. The Russians are dumping their properties in Crimea proving that no matter how beautiful a place is, the Russian occupation will bring bankruptcy and a delapidated military base.
Ukrainians are heading toward Moscow! Reality: The Russians captured the town of Volnovakha, not far away the Russians are tightening their grip with steady, measured advances in the city of Mariupol. The area controlled by the ultra-nationalist militias has been reduced to an area of about ten square kilometers. I hope Ukrainians come to terms, to further save lives. I am afraid the U.S. won’t let them.
Russian lost more tanks and armored tanks than German army currently has.
Idiot Putin entered in a corner with no option to get out but continue.
He even might go on other countries too. But right now he embittered and disgusted the entire white race.
Russia is being quarantined and losing whatever middle and intelectual class it might have.
And this is why he lost.
Besides some people like you entrenched in their fantasy world, the vast majority has come to see the Russian psyhopatic face.
Serbs seem to never learn. Played twice by Russians, let down on when convenient – yes Russian sold you for some billions back in the 90’s. Now rinse and repeat the same scenario. How many people you still afford to lose for your trusted orthodox “brothers”?
Col Douglas Macgregor, the only person in American media who has approached this war from a realistic angle, sounds right in his assessment that Putin has not moved to rid the Ukraine of the Zelensky government because he wants to avoid civilian deaths and conflict inside the cities. Zelensky’s army barely exists now. Russia has a deep historical connection with Kiev. Putin would prefer to avoid destroying the city, so he has taken a humanitarian approach, whereas Zelensky and the Americans have taken the cruelest approach: prolonging a war unnecessarily and bringing as much death and destruction as possible to generate anti-Russian sentiments and Nato intervention. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HUnGxac1ZjE&t=203s
Russia would stop its military offensive against Ukraine “in a moment” if Ukraine ceased integration into Nato and enshrined neutrality in its constitution, acknowledged Crimea as Russian, and recognized Donetsk and Lugansk republics as independent states. https://www.rt.com/russia/551422-peskov-russia-peace-demands/
Putin has no intention to move into Eastern Europe. Russia is a nation, not an empire. And it is not a globalist nation like the US which is always seeking to impose its culture on other nations. Putin is operating according to the same geopolitical calculations traditional nations have followed throughout history: don’t allow your major enemy to reach friendly military alliances with nations around your borders. American ruling class should be held morally responsible for the suffering in Ukraine. Russia is the only pro-white nation in the world.
You do nothing else than propagate a shameless lie.
Putin said in 2008 that he will not invade Ukraine. Take a look here:
See? He’s a liar and you spread his lies.
Russia is, and always was an EMPIRE, of lies, theft, genocide. Who do you think are you talking with? Do you think that everybody is an idiot to accept these lies?
You follow the christian/bolshevik mantra that it is not true what you know and see with your eyes it is true what the priest/party secretary/secret police agent and propagandists are telling you. You are like Lavrov saying that Russia never attacked Ukraine. Are you even sane? Don’t you have any decency left?
Putin is following their classic strategy. They destroy every mean of living. Houses, farms, factories, civilians. Putin is a terrorist and you justify and sponsor a terrorist. This is what you do.
Putin is killing kids! Understand that? Your Putin is killing Ukrainian kids.
Shame on you for vouching this monstrosity!
But don’t say that to a Romanian with generational hatred against Russia (albeit legitimate). Historical animosity in Europe has not died even among the readers of CC.
“I might be wrong, but I don’t think Viktor Orban will ever win another ellection, no matter what the last polls say. I bet that many former supporters will vote against him, due to the scent of a Russian. Mark this date April 3.”
You are wrong. Hungarians have no great affection for Russia, but they’re not russophobes either, and they recognize that it’s in their pragmatic interests to work with Russia, as they have been doing and will continue to do. This is why the Hungarian government has repeatedly stated that it will not get dragged into the conflict. But Hungarians also have little love for Ukraine, given the way the post-Maidan government has treated its Hungarian minority in Transcarpathia, even if they don’t enjoy seeing the human suffering on the ground. So the mood on the Hungarian street is generally one of indifference. The Left-liberal coalition has been trying to make an issue of Orbán’s connection to Putin in the election these past couple of weeks, but the only people who respond to this message are those who weren’t going to vote for Orbán, anyway. Very few Fidesz voters would change their minds and vote for the opposition because of this issue — perhaps a few virulent russophobes, but not enough to change the outcome. Hungarians are supreme pragmatists in politics. In fact, a poll from earlier this week showed that the vast majority of Hungarian voters, including many of the opposition, trust Orbán to better handle national security in a time of crisis than the Leftist opposition. https://dailynewshungary.com/szazadveg-majority-finds-orban-strong-leader-keeping-country-safe/ Orbán will win, not only because of this but for many other reasons as well.
Will see. April 3.
If you think there’s any chance that the opposition will win, you don’t understand what’s going on in Hungarian politics. Péter Márki-Zay is an idiot, as even many Left-liberals will concede.
An electrical engineer with 7 kids? Talking 6 foreign languages?
“The Russian government managed to limit the information coming out about its genuine intentions and movements while saturating the Internet and media spaces with disinformation, misinformation, and anti-truths, managing to polarize the West, including its dissident space, by making positions in the conflict a loyalty test”
” By injecting a dose of weighted misinformation, foreign regimes such as the Kremlin’s can cause further confusion in already confused spaces.”
Can you give some examples of Russian propaganda, so we are armed against this tidal wave of insidious disinfo in the future ? I’m seeing some of our people talk quite a lot about Russian propaganda, but it’s never clearly demonstrated what this is and remains very ill defined. It appears assumed. A given.
I’m not saying there isn’t such a thing as Russian propaganda or Chinese or Israeli propaganda, certainly Israeli propaganda seems quite conspicuous to me, but some of our people talk about Russian propaganda without pinpointing it.
I mean I don’t really follow RT much, so wouldn’t have seen its output in the lead up to the Ukraine invasion, but I don’t see a lot of our people quoting RT as a source either.
I suppose something like Zerohedge might have been sympathetic to some angles coming out of Russia.
But personally, the closest thing I’ve seen to Russian propaganda on social media is a meme of Putin riding a bear without his shirt or something like that.
The idea that that is going get everyone to drop their guard and turn into a Q zombie seems ridiculous to me.
So far, while I’m open to other views on this, I don’t find these very broad claims from our side about Russian propaganda nudging our people in this direction or that at all compelling, rather they seem to coincide with the Western media’s claims about Russia in general.
1. Russia says that it never attacked anyone in its history, only defended itself.
2. The Russian army have a drill on the border. It will never attack Ukraine. Only warmongering NATO says that. And Biden.
3. Ukraine, and US are making weapons of mass distructions and are training migratory birds to spread different deaseases in Russia. This one is 3 weeks old, believe it or not.
4. Everybody should surrender, NATO is a bunch of gays wearing high heels at drills.
5. No one should fight Russia. Russia uses Chechens that slit your throat as nothing. These guys are cutting a ram’s throat at 10 years old. To cut yours is like sacrificing a chicken.
6. Putin is the greatest benefactor of Orthodoxy. The greatest donor for Jerusalem and Athos.
7. Putin is the last arhon to battle the demoniac West. West must be destroyed as the supreme Satan representation.
8. The West must pay for it’s history of wars, colonialism, injustice. West is nazi. Freedom is nazi. Soros is nazi. You are nazi. Everyone is nazi.
I can continue but I think you got the ideea.
But the most important thing is that in Russia one can get 15 years of prison for talking too much. Meantime Russia decries the lack of freedom of speech in the West. Somehow many defenders of free speach in the West are hoping Russia will save them.
The enemy of my enemy might make the worst enemy. Don’t trust that? See what Bohdan Khmelnytsky had to say on the matter.
Fight the evil you know, don’t be tempted by the evil you don’t.
We don’t directly see it because it is one degree removed from us. The so-called Russophile media feeds into the alt-lite and American conspiracy scene which then feed into the dissident right.
There’s a recap of the hot takes leading up to the war towards the end of this article:
I research demographics very intensely and for any naysayers who claim the USSR did not actually collapse you did not live in the 1990s. Russia was extremely bleak until Putin, for all of his faults, came along and drove down the epidemic of alcoholism, suicide and crime. In fact all of Eastern European has had negative population growth since the Cold War ended. If you actually look at the tables it is as if the wheels fell off the demographics and the Eastern Bloc simply could not go on any longer.
So as anticommunist as I am I question now whether it was better at all that the communist bloc disintegrated because the Iron Curtain ironically protected Eastern Europe from the Frankfurt School and neoliberalism.
There was also a huge migration crisis involving ethnic Germans (Aussiedlers and Jews (refuseniks) fleeing the FSU and Russian colonists repatriating, all of which have continued to this day, and we are about to see another wave.
The population decline has been precipitous, as if they are in a war. The demographics are not as bad as East Asia because the lifespan is incredibly short, so Eastern Europe does not have an elderly population draining their resources like the Far East. The bleak economies are the only thing that keeps immigration from replacing the indigenous peoples of Eastern Europe.
Perhaps this war and all of the fallout can invigorate something within Slavs to reproduce like secular Jews do when they make Aliyah because of a sense of togetherness. Because these sanctions seem to be hardening Russians against the West. If they win it could start to reverse the power of the media worldwide.
It’s hard to make accurate predictions when your heart is involved.
I was not fooled, we few were not fooled. Let me tell you why:
Those who lie or cover up the truth eventually turn to violence against those (like us), who argue from and reveal truth. You know this is true, you have experienced it.
Same thing with the little empires of lies run by Jews and their Shabbos (like Trump, Biden, Putin, and almost all others allowed to “rule” nations formerly (or soon to be formerly), known as white nations.
Apply to Putin: Having built his power on a national myth for the Russian masses that is fundamentally all lies (HolyHoax, Germans are evil who attacked Russian for no reason! (when really they were just saving half of Europa from the horrors of (((Commie))) rule that so brutalized Russians, by pre-empting the Russian’s treacherous Operation Thunderbolt). Also he has hidden away the holocaust the really happened, done by (((Russians))) to the Ukrainians (Holodomor), and done by Russians to the Germans (many millions murdered after the war and all women, grandma’s and girls Russian army could get its hands on raped, gang-raped, very often to death).
So having buried the true history, mythology, nationality, and goodness of the Russian people under a mountain of Talmudic lies, Putin (or any other Shabbos traitor to his folk), must, like the individuals and small groups of liars who inevitably attack we truth-tellers, even so these rulers of empires of jew-lies like Putin, must inevitably turn to violence or they will eventually be destroyed by the truth.
Of course, as we few have advocated, and quixotically tried to communicate to Putin himself, there is another way than to kill for lies or die from lies: One can stop lying, pick up the sword of truth, and attack the real enemy.
Of course that takes Hitler level integrity, and sadly Putin is no Hitler.
So there you go, that is how we few were not surprised, because we are simpletons and moronically mono-tonic truth tellers:
Individuals who won’t give up lying eventually have to accept defeat or turn to violence.
Same thing with states. States built on lies eventually have to repent and redeem or they will have to choose between attacking others or losing.
It works every time.
We are beginning to think it is cosmic truth.
The lie flits around the world fooling many while truth is still lacing its boots. Then the truth slowly catches up and stomps the lie and liars dead.
So the liars either repent or fight.
If they “win” they still die as even though they defeated truth on earth they can never defeat cosmic reality. And failure to honor the truth of nature eventually leads to Nature itself Lacing up the Truth boots and stomping you out.
That’s why National Socialism is all about facing and making the best of the reality of nature and finding the best in yourself and your folk through that endeavor.
And that is why Uncle Adolf at one point expressed his worry that if the Jews prevailed against Germany and her allies that the progress of humanity would go into reverse and Earth end up as it began, lifeless in the void.
Of course he overcame all fear at the end and urged us all to fight on, not for him for the “man to come”.
Anyhow, sorry for the long post but there really is a way to not be fooled, for what it is worth (and it may not be worth much until and unless we amass the power to at least save some of our folk if not all of our folk if not all of humanity).
I and we few, we have been sophisticated and worldly and pragmatic and all that blah blah blah, but maybe when it gets down to the endgame, when the reality rubber is about to meet your face with some serious road-rash, all those layers of lies and pil-pull, all those devil, demonic, demi-urgic layers, all that balancing and judgement and moral compromise must be surpassed to penetrate to the underlying reality…
Positive or Negative
Truth or Lies
Co-create the healthy body of creation or be a cancer on it.
Those who build their personal life or the life of their nation on an empire of lies always either lose to worldly Truth or if they manage to kill worldly Truth then they get stomped into extinction by Cosmic Truth.
Liars always have to either lose, or give up lying, or kill the truth tellers.
Of course Putin didn’t take our advice, or even read our letter, lol — so of course he had to attack or accept losing (and will escalate and make a mockery of all his pious supporters as well, and he will do so oh so “rationally”, to avoid defeat).
…anything to avoid the truth.
Mere rationality is monstrous! Putin “rationally” attacked, is killing good white men, women and children, is destroying his own people, and unless he is gifted a revelation of truth really soon, and has the guts to change his entire course of life, he will “rationally” escalate up the scale from mere theft and murder to war-crimes to genocide to nuking the whole world if he is “losing” and can get away with it before somebody with a remaining shred of humanity puts him down.
Or course to be fair, he is not alone, all Shabbos and Jew-tainted rulers are prone to this.
That’s why we few, we few simple, simple, simpletons knew he had to either had to stop lying and go for the real enemy, or attack the Ukrainian people.
Liars are at odd with reality, therefore they inevitably attack truth tellers — as part of their attack on the reality that so offends them. Easy-peasy its cosmic law!
You cannot get to the Truth by Lying.
Lies and liars are cancer on the body of creation.
Truth is (and truth-tellers the co-creators of), the healthy body of the cosmos, of god really.
There is no escape from this law or your judgment under it.
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