Translated by Michael O’Meara
In matters of demography, Russians are far less naïve than West Europeans, who, indoctrinated as they are in the new human rights religion, deny the catastrophic reality of Third World immigration. Though West Europeans ridicule Russia for the decline of her population, they do so forgetting the Third World beam that runs across their own population.
There’s no question: Russians will continue to experience great difficulties. But due to measures taken by President Putin and Prime Minister Medvedev, they are facing these difficulties and will eventually overcome them, without compromising their future or their identity.
West European elites, on the other hand, have committed a crime – an absolutely unpardonable treason — against the flesh and blood homeland of all Europeans — by allowing in masses of non-European immigrants (the immigrants continuing to cross the border behind Sarkozy’s mediacratic smoke and mirrors — 250,000 of them, a third of the population of Lyon, arriving each year) most of whom, particularly those coming from Africa, are simply unassimilable.
Western Europe in the image of Bosnia, Kosovo, Lebanon, and West Africa
Today, the sole realistic perspective on Western Europe’s future is one of inescapable civil war, like Lebanon, Bosnia, Kosovo, Georgia, African countries, Ceylon . . . if measures are not immediately taken to revive the natality of the native European population.
By contrast, the future belongs to Russia, despite her present difficulties, particularly those of the catastrophic decade of 1990–2000, under Boris Yeltsin, when the population was in free fall, declining by 800,000 individuals per year. The falling Russian birthrate, began, in fact, in the ‘80s, with the first signs of Soviet exhaustion and the coming implosion. In 2007, when Putin introduced his plan to stabilize the population, Russia counted less than 142 million inhabitants, while the population had been 150 million in 1992. A report from the Novosti agency in 2007 paints a vivid image of the inevitable collapse: Russia loses 100 inhabitants every hour; every 14 seconds there’s a death and every 21 seconds a birth.
Public Opinion Hostile to Immigration
Public opinion in Russia remains hostile to immigration. Contrary to certain tall tales in the West, even if the Yellow Peril is something quite real, especially for Siberia and Russia’s Far East, the highest estimate of the Chinese immigrant population is 400,000, according to Zhanna Zayonchkouskaya, head of an institute, affiliated with the Russian Academy of Sciences, that studies immigration; it’s not the millions and millions that have been announced. The Russians are alert to the danger and have taken severe measures to ensure that there will be no mass migration from China.
The Repatriation of Russians from Outside Russia
The only immigration the public favors is the repatriation of Russians from the former Soviet republics (Kirghizstan, Kazakhstan, the Baltic countries, Turkmenistan). Cities like Vladivostok, Irkoutsk, Khabarovsk, Irkoutsk, Krasnoïarsk, and even Blagovetchensk on the Chinese border, are European cities, with but small numbers of Chinese merchants and immigrants.
An invasion could have occurred in the 1990s, given the degraded situation. Chinese immigrants in the period did indeed take advantage of the anarchy to slip into European Russia (‘the West of Russia’). Today, though, it’s no easy matter being a clandestine immigrant in the Far East or Siberia: the frontier is relatively impermeable; risks are high; hotels and places of lodging are strictly controlled; the chaos accompanying the USSR’s fall is now a thing of the past.
Several Million Immigrants from the Caucasus
As to immigrants to European Russia from the Caucasus (Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan) or Central Asia (Tajikistan), there are several million, many of whom are illegal, but they represent no real danger – neither in terms of their numbers nor in their geographical implantation, which is strictly controlled by the police and the civil authorities. These immigrants from the Caucasus are unfavorably seen by native Russians, given their nationalist sentiments and their numerous past clashes with them.
Raising the Birthrate and Pursuing Natalist Policies
Russia reacted to her demographic crisis with a good deal of sense, thinking courageously and endeavoring to revive the birthrate. In 2003, following the proposal of the conservative deputy Alexandre Tchouev, the Russian Parliament made abortion more difficult to receive. In May 2006, President Putin introduced his natalist policy, which grants mothers a Maternity Bonus of 1,250,000 rubles, or 17,350 euros (2006) for the birth of a second child and 1,300,000 rubles (18,825 euros) for a third child. Since February 2006, birth certificates have been introduced to maternity wards, where they are filled out immediately following a birth, enabling the mother to gain ready access to her Maternity Bonus — her midwife, too, is given an Assistance Bonus of 100,000 rubles (294 euros) for every birth she assists.
Russia also faces a real social drama in the area of housing, given the absence of appropriate dwellings for children, which has often contributed to single-child families. Construction, now in full upswing, will play a role in improving the birthrate. Along with education, agriculture, and health, housing now constitutes one of the four ‘national projects’ of Russia’s 2020 Perspective. In the United States, the [postwar] baby-boom was the consequence of a mass migration from the city-centers toward the suburbs, toward the land . . .
Rising Life Expectancy
Life expectancy, according to Boris Bevitch of the Center for Russian Demography, was 59 during the 1990s, 20 years lower than that of Western Europe. In 2010, it’s at 69. The demographic plague afflicting Russians at the beginning of the new millennium was of the following magnitude: alcoholism (34,500 deaths/year), nicotine addiction (500,000 deaths/year), cardio-vascular disease (1.3 million deaths/year), cancer (300,000 deaths), traffic accidents (39,000 deaths/year), murders (36,000), suicides (46,000) — the degradations of the health system (once the pride of the USSR) and the catastrophe it’s provoked, with its high infant mortality (11/1000 births, twice the EU rate). Beyond the measures already in place, progress is still needed to diminish the abortion rate, which fell 25 percent from 2003 to 2008, though it remains high, with 1.2 million abortions per 1.7 million births in 2008! Russia, moreover, will have to compensate for the hysteresis that the catastrophic years had on the structure of the Russian population, for it greatly diminished the strata necessary for reproduction.
The Return to Traditional Values and the End of Single-child Families
The return to traditional values, to the orthodox faith, will also contribute to breaking the pattern of one-child families. All real progress, though, rests on a revolution — a revolution of attitude or mind — that favors large families. The situation in Russia is nevertheless now far less desperate than Germany.
In 2010 Medvedev supplemented Putin’s measures — by granting a large tax break for the third child, 3,000 rubles/month (72 euros) and for each additional child. For other families with children, he’s said he also favors a tax reduction (though no figure was cited). One anecdotal, but highly revealing example of Russia’s political will is the official campaign to “Celebrate Russian independence by giving birth to a patriot.” Centered in the Ulyanovsk region 850km east of Moscow, the campaign’s first place winner will get a new car.
In 2005, of the population of this region dropped by 760,000 inhabitants, which was a record loss. In 2006, the drop was 520,000 — in 2007 280,000 — and in 2008 116,000. The good news is that in 2009 — out of 1.7 million births, 1.95 million deaths, 100 Russian emigrants, and 330,000 naturalizations, the Russian population grew for the first time in 15 years — 50,000. The fertility rate of 1.9 children per woman in 1990 — which fell to 1.1 in 2000 – is now at 1.56 children per woman, which is a rate equivalent to that of the European Union: 1.57 children per women in 2008.
A Return to Equilibrium?
In 2010, Russia faces three possible demographic scenarios. According to a negative forecast by the Russian Ministry of Health, the Russian population will continue to decline — to 139, 600,000 inhabitants by 2016 and to 128,000,000 inhabitants by 2030. In this scenario, the rate of immigration remains low, around 200,000/ year for the next 20 years.
According to another report of the same Ministry, this one more moderate in sentiment, the Russian population will grow slightly until 2016 to attain about 142,160,000 inhabitants — at which point it will start to decline slightly, from two to three-hundred thousand a year, to about 139,372,000 in 2030. The rate of immigration in this scenario would be steady at about 350,000 new entrants a year, about the rate of 2009, a year in which 334,5000 foreigners and refugees (some of Russian and Ukrainian descent) acquired Russian nationality.
According to a third, and the most favorable of these studies by the Health Ministry, the population will continue to grow, to about 144,000,00 inhabitants by 2016 and to 148,000,000 by 2030. The rate of immigration is higher in this estimate — 8 percent of the native population. These immigrants would come principally from the Caucasus and the Commonwealth of Independent States, whose russophone post-Soviet populations have already been established in Russia, without destabilizing effects.
Has Russia Avoided the Mistake the West Has Made?
In conclusion, the rising Russia birthrate is the result of policies pursued by Vladimir Putin, Dimitri Medvedev, and their governments.
The falling birthrate in the West is the result of policies pursued by the ruling globalist elites who take no account of what they’ve created: de-Christianization, moral corruption, the liberalization of birth control, abortion, homosexuality, feminism, female labor, the destruction of small farms, the concentration of the population in large metropolises, the reduction of family housing (no longer reserved for native French families, but only immigrant families — the height of idiocy — part of the programmed suicide — what’s called the ‘Culture of Death’). The historian Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie, member of the French Academy, points out that the number of annual French abortions (200,000) equals the infant mortality rate of Louis XIV’s age. Can one actually speak of progress with these conditions?
The global oligarchy has a single remedy for declining birthrates: immigration. Its objective is indeed to fabricate at the planetary level a population of refugee and uprooted populations, opposed to one another in a sort of global civil war, as peoples become minorities in their own homelands.
Though the difficulties facing her are far greater than those of the EU, Russia has said ‘no’ to the Western folly. She is showing us the way we can redress our demographic problems and put a stop to immigration — the way, in a word, our European civilization will survive.
Marc Rousset is an economist and the author of La nouvelle Europe: Paris-Berlin-Moscou (Paris: Godefroy de Bouillon, 2009)
Source: “La Russie dit non à l’invasion migratoire!” (January 26, 2011), http://www.europemaxima.com/?p=1858.
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